RANE Podcast Series

The Role of Leadership Analysis in Geopolitics

One of the strengths of geopolitical analysis is the ability to move above the fray of current politics. As a tool of assessment, geopolitics often works best in assessing strategic balances, drivers, and constraints. But while nations are often the discussed unit of action, reality requires us to understand and input the role of decision-makers, organizations, and institutions into the calculations, particularly in shorter time frames or narrower geographic scopes. In this more focused approach, we can consider two simultaneous ideas - “objective” geopolitics, and perspective geopolitics. Actions will be driven more often not by what is, but by what is perceived. The results, however, are much more influenced by what is, than by what one wishes. In this episode of the Applied Geopolitics podcast, Rodger Baker, the director of the Stratfor Center for Applied Geopolitics at RANE, speaks with Dr. Kenneth Dekleva about his work in leadership analysis and forensic psychiatry.

Dr. Kenneth Dekleva is a practicing psychiatrist and Senior Fellow at the George HW Bush Foundation for US-China Relations.  From 2002 to 2016, he served as a senior U.S. diplomat and regional medical officer/psychiatrist with the U.S. Department of State, mostly overseas, but also in a leadership role (from 2013 to 2015) as director of the U.S. State Department’s worldwide diplomatic mental health program, providing mental health support to 60,000 U.S. diplomats and family members based overseas and in the United States. He has published widely in the Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law, The Hill, The Cipher Brief, 38 North and The Diplomat, and has given numerous presentations in academic, private sector, and U.S. government settings in the field of leadership analysis, including profiles of Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-un. He has also given media interviews to CNN, National Public Radio, Intelligence Matters, and Background Briefing.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

The Implications of the Recent Rise in COVID Cases

In this episode of Beyond COVID, our experts analyze recent COVID numbers and compare the virus to other existing coronaviruses. 

Dr. Fred Southwick is an infectious disease specialist at the University of Florida's College of Medicine, and Dr. Bill Lang is an expert in public health responses to biological incidents. Our host, David Lawrence, is the founder of RANE.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

EU-Turkey Rapprochement; An Opportunity for a Cyprus Reunification?

Cyprus is pushing for a resumption of negotiations with Turkey for a settlement on the divided island, seeking to capitalize on recent momentum towards a rapprochement between the EU and Ankara. The main idea is to link a potential revival of Turkey's EU accession process to the progression of talks for an eventual future reunification of Cyprus, which has long been divided into two Greek and Turkish-Cypriot entities. Although both sides seem willing to resume negotiations, significant constraints will have to be addressed before a solution can be achieved. RANE’s Europe Analyst Matteo Ilardo offers his insights. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

 

Government Formation Gridlock in Thailand

Thailand's May 14 election winner is being denied the ability to form a government, creating government paralysis that delays economic recovery initiatives while risking reinvigoration of the mass protest movement of 2020-2021. In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Asia-Pacific Analyst Nate Fischler explains why Thailand’s Move Forward Party has been unable to form a government and discusses the negative impacts this could have on the country’s economy. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

What Sweden’s NATO Accession Process Says about Turkey and Russia’s Relationship

On July 10, Turkey’s President agreed to back Sweden joining NATO, and to bring the issue to the Turkish National Assembly for approval. The development prompted a flurry of speculation about Turkey leaning away from Russia and more towards NATO and the West. In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst, Emily Hawthorne, provides her insights into Sweden’s NATO accession process. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

How likely is a free trade deal between the EU and Mercosur?

While the European Union and Mercosur reached an initial deal on a free trade agreement in 2019, the deal has not been implemented because of disagreements between the two trading blocs. In recent weeks there has been a push to resurrect the deal, but significant obstacles remain. In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Director of Analysis, Adriano Bosoni, shares his insights into these ongoing efforts.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

An Overview of RANE’s Q3 Forecast

On June 26, RANE published its third-quarter forecasts for both its geopolitical and threat intelligence platforms. In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, Director of Analysis, Sam Lichtenstein discusses some of the major security stories RANE analysts will  be watching this quarter.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

Recent AI Legislation Efforts

On June 14th, the European Union passed its long awaited Artificial Intelligence Act to govern issues such as biometric data exploitation, mass surveillance and foundational models. Meanwhile, U.S. lawmakers are backing efforts to create a federal commission that will develop a strategy for regulating AI – the latest addition to a variety of legislative proposals which aim to tackle emerging AI technologies, such as ChatGPT. RANE’s Cyber Analyst, Hayley Benedict explains what shape such legislation is taking, and what changes we can expect to see.

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.